Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.202144 0.240152 0.282767 0.334006 0.393858 0.461472 0.543562
2025-05-04 0.151309 0.201717 0.264441 0.347862 0.455502 0.589277 0.767656
2025-05-11 0.116749 0.169889 0.241414 0.343977 0.486392 0.676129 0.946841
2025-05-18 0.091187 0.142914 0.217301 0.330886 0.498479 0.734860 1.091216
2025-05-25 0.072089 0.120738 0.194940 0.314711 0.501087 0.777322 1.214061
2025-06-01 0.062512 0.110987 0.188825 0.320671 0.535470 0.867653 1.414588
2025-06-08 0.051745 0.097178 0.173820 0.309747 0.541027 0.913301 1.549989
2025-06-15 0.046141 0.091128 0.170436 0.316948 0.575989 1.007858 1.771429
2025-06-22 0.040763 0.084492 0.164896 0.319309 0.602413 1.090274 1.980145
2025-06-29 0.035392 0.076907 0.156432 0.315008 0.616094 1.151678 2.158133
2025-07-06 0.030942 0.070360 0.148890 0.311198 0.629771 1.213711 2.342240
2025-07-13 0.028837 0.068305 0.149748 0.323545 0.674873 1.336161 2.646155
2025-07-20 0.028124 0.069360 0.157452 0.351428 0.755015 1.534543 3.116283
2025-07-27 0.026077 0.067113 0.158030 0.364921 0.808521 1.688656 3.519522
2025-08-03 0.022909 0.061652 0.150815 0.360767 0.825156 1.772395 3.793858
2025-08-10 0.019545 0.055054 0.140000 0.347069 0.819686 1.810892 3.981031
2025-08-17 0.016492 0.048628 0.128537 0.330152 0.804847 1.828100 4.125505
2025-08-24 0.015155 0.046490 0.127044 0.336385 0.842542 1.959403 4.521150
2025-08-31 0.013088 0.041919 0.118766 0.324959 0.837976 1.998722 4.722745
2025-09-07 0.012156 0.040418 0.118138 0.332491 0.879060 2.142510 5.165950
2025-09-14 0.011104 0.038348 0.115679 0.334961 0.908065 2.261619 5.564464
2025-09-21 0.009903 0.035570 0.110842 0.330461 0.919128 2.340260 5.877535
2025-09-28 0.008861 0.033084 0.106430 0.326477 0.930979 2.421738 6.204359